Animated comedy sequel 'Hotel Transylvania 2' is obviously the most likely candidate for first place this weekend. Like last week's 'Scorch Trials', 'Transylvania' is a relatively modestly-budgeted sequel that audiences (for the most part) enjoyed that was released in mid-September. Sony is also playing it in at least 225 more locations in hopes of at least passing $40 million. Unfortunately, that will likely not be happening as reviews (38% on Rotten Tomatoes) and anticipation (+96%) pale in comparison to the first. Star Adam Sandler has had a hard time finding an audience as well, since his latest films stumbled upon their opening ('Pixels' with $24m and 'Men, Women, and Children' with $306.4k). However, families don't mind as 'Bedtime Stories' ($110.1m) and the first 'Hotel Transylvania' ($148.3m) have done remarkably well, and social media activity has been good too (an impressive 9.4m Facebook fans and a 40:1 ratio of positive-to-negative mentions on Twitter today. The $80-million animated fantasy comedy should perform similarly to 'Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2', which had a $34 million opening. Somewhere around that figure is likely.
Nancy Meyers and Warner Bros. proudly presents clever counter-programming this weekend with the PG-13 comedy 'The Intern', starring Robert De Niro and Anne Hathaway. Costing $35 million, the odds are currently for 'Intern' for numerous reasons. First, after a summer of R-rated comedies and big-budget action-packed blockbusters, older audiences would probably like to finally see a movie that is right up their ally instead of a special effects bonanza. The cast is pretty impressive too, as the stars have had major successes recently (De Niro with 'Last Vegas' ($63.9m) and Hathaway with 'Les Miserables' ($148.8m)). Also, the director is well-known with hits like 'It's Complicated' ($112.7m) and 'Something's Gotta Give' ($124.7m). The only thing that's really going against 'Intern' is the critical reception (49% on RT), but that still hasn't hindered anticipation (+97%). A weekend of around $14-$22 million is a lock, which is the general range of Meyer's films' openings.
Gory R-rated cannibal horror-thriller 'The Green Inferno' debuts in over 1,500 locations, though that probably won't save it from having a lackluster opening. The long-delayed $6-million horror from Eli Roth has so far experienced middling reviews (45% on RT) and weak anticipation (+86%), meaning that general awareness is pretty low. There have barely been any commercials anyway, so the marketing isn't really pushing it that much. Roth's largest opening so far is 'Hostel''s $19.6 million opening while the lowest is 'Hostel Part II', ironically, with $8.2 million. 'Inferno' will probably take that place with a weekend of just over $2.5 million, and with likely front-loading already, will most likely not make it that far.
Weekend Forecast
1. 'Hotel Transylvania 2' - $33.8 million
2. 'The Intern' - $20.4 million
3. 'Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials' - $15.7 million (-48.2%)
4. 'Black Mass' - $14.3 million (-36.7%)
5. 'The Visit' - $5.8 million (-50%)
- 'The Green Inferno' - $2.9 million
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